Saturday, May 29, 2021

Coronavirus 53 Now It's Deliberate

Now that we've heard Mr Cummings confirm much of what we suspected about the catastrophic mishandling on the pandemic during 2020 one might think the errors are in the past and we are now doing things better.

Not true.

The UK Government has still not embraced the only rational way to minimise harm, a Zero-Covid approach that aims to eliminate the virus. Instead, though it's not explicitly admitted, the mythical 'herd-immunity' is still being pursued.

Our borders are porous; there is very little effective effort being made to stop reinfection from abroad. We still have no effective Find - Track - Trace - Isolate - Support system in place. There has been no serious effort made to improve ventilation in schools and now we even have the lifting of obligatory mask wearing in secondary schools. Data is not being shared. Hospitality and entertainment is opening up and strangers are meeting indoors in ever greater numbers. Further restriction lifting is planned.

The undeniable conclusion is that the Government is allowing the virus to spread, just trying to manage the rate of spread such that the hospitals are not overwhelmed, but not minimising death and disease. That has been the strategy from the start, exemplified by the phrases 'protect the NHS' and 'flatten the curve'. Elimination of the virus has never been the priority in the UK, though such a strategy has been shown to work elsewhere.

This is the paper the paper that must be required reading for all policy developers:

SARS-CoV-2 elimination, not mitigation, creates best outcomes for health, the economy, and civil liberties
Miquel Oliu-Barton Bary S R Pradelski Philippe Aghion Patrick Artus Ilona Kickbusch Jeffrey V Lazarus et al.

Case numbers, and the inevitable almost 1% death rate and ~10% long-covid that will result, are once again increasing; we are starting exponential growth again. There is much talk about the mistakes and errors made a year ago but we must not be distracted from what is happening right now. The same thinking is leading to the same errors and consequently more avoidable deaths and disease. The difference this time is that ignorance can not be used as the excuse. This time it is deliberate.

The SARS-Cov-2 outbreak in the UK is today spreading exponentially, the result of deliberate Government policy.

But don't take my word for it, listen to the experts.


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